ConsumerismEconomicsGlobal Warming/Climate ChangeSociety

Loss Adjustment

When people say we should adapt to climate change, do they have any idea what that means?

To understand what is happening to the living planet, the great conservationist Aldo Leopold remarked, is to live “in a world of wounds … An ecologist must either harden his shell and make believe that the consequences of science are none of his business, or he must be the doctor who sees the marks of death in a community that believes itself well and does not want to be told otherwise.”(1)

The metaphor suggests that he might have seen Henrik Ibsen’s play An Enemy of the People(2). Thomas Stockmann is a doctor in a small Norwegian town, and medical officer at the public baths whose construction has been overseen by his brother, the mayor. The baths, the mayor boasts, “will become the focus of our municipal life! … Houses and landed property are rising in value every day.”

But Dr Stockmann discovers that the pipes were built in the wrong place, and the water feeding the baths is contaminated. “The source is poisoned …We are making our living by retailing filth and corruption! The whole of our flourishing municipal life derives its sustenance from a lie!” People bathing in the water to improve their health are instead falling ill.

Dr Stockmann expects to be treated as a hero for exposing this deadly threat. After the mayor discovers that re-laying the pipes would cost a fortune and probably sink the whole project, he decides that his brother’s report “has not convinced me that the condition of the water at the baths is as bad as you represent it to be.” He proposes to ignore the problem, make some cosmetic adjustments and carry on as before. After all, “the matter in hand is not simply a scientific one. It is a complicated matter, and has its economic as well as its technical side.” The local paper, the baths committee and the business people side with the mayor against the doctor’s “unreliable and exaggerated accounts”.

Astonished and enraged, Dr Stockmann lashes out madly at everyone. He attacks the town as a nest of imbeciles, and finds himself, in turn, denounced as an enemy of the people. His windows are broken, his clothes are torn, he’s evicted and ruined.

Yesterday’s editorial in the Daily Telegraph, which was by no means the worst of the recent commentary on this issue, follows the first three acts of the play(3). Marking the new assessment by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the paper sides with the mayor. First it suggests that the panel cannot be trusted, partly because its accounts are unreliable and exaggerated and partly because it uses “model-driven assumptions” to forecast future trends. (What would the Telegraph prefer? Tea leaves? Entrails?). Then it suggests that trying to stop manmade climate change would be too expensive. Then it proposes making some cosmetic adjustments and carrying on as before. (“Perhaps instead of continued doom-mongering, however, greater thought needs to be given to how mankind might adapt to the climatic realities.”)

But at least the Telegraph accepted that the issue deserved some prominence. On the Daily Mail’s website, climate breakdown was scarcely a footnote to the real issues of the day: “Kim Kardashian looks more confident than ever as she shows off her toned curves” and “Little George is the spitting image of Kate”.

Beneath these indispensable reports was a story celebrating the discovery of “vast deposits of coal lying under the North Sea, which could provide enough energy to power Britain for centuries.”(4) No connection with the release of the new climate report was made. Like royal babies, Kim’s curves and Ibsen’s municipal baths, coal is good for business. Global warming, like Dr Stockmann’s contaminants, is the spectre at the feast.

Everywhere we’re told that it’s easier to adapt to global warming than to stop causing it. This suggests that it’s not only the Stern review on the economics of climate change (showing that it’s much cheaper to avert climate breakdown than to try to live with it(5)) that has been forgotten, but also the floods which have so recently abated. If a small, rich, well-organised nation cannot protect its people from a winter of exceptional rainfall – which might have been caused by less than one degree of global warming – what hope do other nations have, when faced with four degrees or more?

When our environment secretary, Owen Paterson, assures us that climate change “is something we can adapt to over time”(6) or Simon Jenkins, in the Guardian yesterday, says that we should move towards “thinking intelligently about how the world should adapt to what is already happening”(7), what do they envisage? Cities relocated to higher ground? Roads and railways shifted inland? Rivers diverted? Arable land abandoned? Regions depopulated? Have they any clue about what this would cost? Of what the impacts would be for the people breezily being told to live with it?

My guess is that they don’t envisage anything: they have no idea what they mean when they say adaptation. If they’ve thought about it at all, they probably picture a steady rise in temperatures, followed by a steady rise in impacts, to which we steadily adjust. But that, as we should know from our own recent experience, is not how it happens. Climate breakdown proceeds in fits and starts, sudden changes of state against which, as we discovered on a small scale in January, preparations cannot easily be made.

Insurers working out their liability when a disaster has occurred use a process they call loss adjustment. It could describe what all of us who love this world are going through, as we begin to recognise that governments, the media and most businesses have no intention of seeking to avert the coming tragedies. We are being told to accept the world of wounds; to live with the disappearance, envisaged in the new climate report, of coral reefs and summer sea ice, of most glaciers and perhaps some rainforests, of rivers and wetlands and the species which, like many people, will be unable to adapt(8).

As the scale of the loss to which we must adjust becomes clearer, grief and anger are sometimes overwhelming. You find yourself, as I have done in this column, lashing out at the entire town.

References:

  1. Aldo Leopold, 1949. A Sand County Almanac. Oxford University Press.
  2. Read at https://www.gutenberg.org/files/2446/2446-h/2446-h.htm
  3. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/telegraph-view/10733381/The-climate-debate-needs-more-than-alarmism.html
  4. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2593032/Coal-fuel-UK-centuries-Vast-deposits-totalling-23trillion-tonnes-North-Sea.html
  5. https://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/+/http:/www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/sternreview_index.htm
  6. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/sep/30/owen-paterson-minister-climate-change-advantages
  7. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/mar/31/ipcc-report-adaptation-climate-change
  8. https://ipcc-wg2.gov/AR5/images/uploads/IPCC_WG2AR5_SPM_Approved.pdf

7 Comments

  1. So, Dean Driscoll, “…the solutions are ’embarassingly simple’.” Please do tell us what the solutions are. Treat us with some respect by not just saying ‘Permaculture’, otherwise that will reveal that you have no concept of just what the problems are.

    1. Since no reply to my request appears to be forthcoming, I will reply to myself.

      It is all too easy to take buzzwords or sound bites from the quotations of great persons, persons like Bill Mollison, persons who have many years of experience and in-depth knowledge on the subject matter of which they speak, and use those words to imply that we share that same knowledge and experience. It happens all the time now. It is the basis for most news media operations. But such conclusions do not necessarily follow, and the original meaning of the phrase may, and in all likelihood will, have been distorted in the process.

      Now, I have not been able so far to locate the context of Bill Mollison’s statement about the the problems of the world’s complex structures and the solutions that are ’embarassingly simple’ so easily tossed about by permaculturists, but I doubt that his intended meaning was what it has come to be perceived to be by many. I may be wrong and to Bill, with his knowledge and experience, things may have appeared to have simple solutions but I doubt that is what he really meant by the phrase.

      To anyone else, to you, to me, solutions to the problems currently facing the world are anything but simple. Unless of course, by a simple solution you mean: “World, stop doing what you are doing, as it is destroying both you and your environment. Turn around and start to do something more beneficial”. That is a simple solution to all the world’s problems, but it is entirely impractical and impossible to achieve since it would require the cooperation of every organisation and individual on the planet. And please don’t bleat about “It has to start somewhere and it needs to start with me” or “From tiny acorns, giant oaks do grow”. Deep down, you know as well as I do that such a revolutionary turnaround is never going to happen, no matter how many fervent permaculturists are recruited. The timeframe does not allow for that possibility.

      There, I have said my piece. I’m happy now, and can carry on doing what I can to prepare for whatever comes.

      1. Consuming less may be one of the biggest things that Westerners can do to help our environment on a global scale. We can’t plant enough trees to offset this carbon(though I’m going to try like hell). So yes, it can be simple. Preventing the problem, or reducing the impact, may not appeal to the egotistical side of us, but by consuming less we save resources(and reduce the rate at which they’re extracted), landfill space, spewing carbon from manufacturing a new product and can pocket the money to save up for land in the future.

        The more I think about this, the more I like what David Holmgren has to say about crashing the system(https://pmnlive.wpengine.com/2014/01/16/crash-demand-welcome-brown-tech-future/). Governments won’t stop, nor will corporations. By not being a 21st century consumer, we could do serious harm to a system that requires constant growth. Just make sure that a backup system is ready to go, so thankfully we have Permaculture.

      2. And what is your point? You dont believe change can happen so you’re not going to work toward a better world?

  2. All human societies rise and fall, the greatest empires have, ours will too, it’s not a matter of ‘if’, but how quickly, and that is determined by our actions. The more unsustainable, the sooner…

  3. Without denying or repressing responses to loss, this quote by Martin Luther King sums it up for me: “Even if I knew that tomorrow the world would go to pieces, I would still plant my apple tree.”

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Related Articles

Back to top button
Close